The Conservative Dilemma

The failure of the Republican Party to be able to win national elections presents a real dilemma for conservatives. Where are the allies at? All around, you just have to know where to look.

If you will carefully look at the tables in each of the Target States, you will see that Republicans are in a world of hurt. In order to elect a President, the Republican party needs to carry the likes of Iowa and New Hampshire or Minnesota. Nevada and New Mexico are history and Colorado is headed there. I regret to say this, but there simply are not enough electoral votes to be had by Republicans any more. Now why is this? The demographics of the electorate is changing and not in the Republicans' favor. The influx of immigrants from Mexico into states like Nevada, New Mexico and Colorado is part of the problem. While illegal immigrants supposedly cannot vote, their children are automatically U.S. citizens who can vote once they are old enough. The illegal immigrant problem is no new phenomenon. It has been with us long enough that many of those children are now adults. They do not vote Republican.

The so-called flower children and the Viet Nam war protesters are now in their fifties. Ordinarily people over fifty vote Republican. That is not the case any more. It has moved up to over sixty. Yes, people are living longer but even so the solid Republican voters are slowly dying off. The minorities have always voted Democrat and show every sign of continuing to do so. They always have larger families than the majority and thus the percentage of the electorate that is in a minority group has steadily been climbing. It is just a matter of time until the minorities are no longer a minority but are the majority. None of this is good for the Republican Party. It already means that America is no longer a center-right country. The trend to the left of its electorate means that America is at best a centrist country.

That creates a real dilemma for us conservatives. We have been primarily forced into the Republican Party because the Democrat Party has been becoming more liberal with every passing election. Once Barry Goldwater broke the solid South, Republicans picked up the conservatives in the South who were no longer comfortable in the Democrat Party. That shift allowed the Republicans to win most of the Presidential elections since 1964. This is no longer the case. Because the Democrat Party is now a captive of the far left, there are a lot of unhappy Democrats. Those old Southern Democrats may have stayed registered in the Democrat Party, but they voted Republican and their children registered as Republicans.

This is not the case with those unhappy Democrats. To them, the Republican Party is the party of big business and extremist positions. However unhappy they might be with the leftist tilt of the Democratic Party, they are not willing to vote Republican in any serious numbers. The PUMA's were only 15 to 20% of the Hillary voters and there were not enough of them in the face of Republican desertions and the failure to persuade the independents. The conservatives need to peel off those unhappy Democrats in order to form a majority. This cannot be done by getting them to register Republican. The habit pattern of voting Democrat is just too strong. That is why I am promoting the PUMA Coalition as a viable way of getting those Democrats into a coalition with the conservatives.

Politics is the art of the possible and it does, indeed, make for strange bedfellows. Conservatives are now faced with a hard choice. They can stand firmly on all of their issues and go down with the Republican ship while watching the likes of Obama turn this country into a European socialist country. Or they can give a little to gain a lot and halt the slide into socialism. So who is it that we need to get into bed with? Originally my answer was the Clintons, but they have now been co-opted by team Obama. What we need now is conservative Democrats who can join with us.


I am not suggesting that conservatives from either party should abandon their beliefs, but rather that both groups should sort through those beliefs and find ten political goals on which they all agree completely, without surrendering their core beliefs in any way, shape or form. Work together to achieve those goals and, if after achieving all of them Obama is still in office, find five more and keep on going. I guarantee that by the time conservatives of both parties have worked through the list of goals on which they agree, Barack Obama will be a historical footnote and conservatives of both parties can have a healthy competition to see who runs the show next. Who knows, maybe they will decide to continue to work together even in Presidential election years.

The upside? Not only will we work together to take down the most dangerous person ever to win the presidency, we will have set a new standard and a new vision for working together even with those who share some but not all of our core beliefs.
What conservatives from both parties have in common is that none of us want this country governed by Obama and his minions. The enemy of my enemy is my friend and all that stuff. So which is it going to be, fellow conservatives, down with the ship in the ObamaNation or form a coalition with conservative Democrats? The future of this country lies in your decision.

Comments :

9 comments to “The Conservative Dilemma”
Alien Patriot said...
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I don't like what I read on many conservative blogs now. Lowering the faith in conservative principles is what brought the GOP where they are. I don't buy into this progressive conservative stuff. It's a sell out.

Even if the GOP would be just there to balance out the left, so be it. IT's not always about power. It's about principles.

There is still 38% not voting. What about those guys.

I think the plan for the GOP should be: a clear message and grass roots work.

Everybody gets caught up in statistics, elections in 2009 in Virginia, then 2010 congressional elections, then 2012, and even 2016.

With this attitude the GOP is already dead. And if it hooks up with the Clinton voters - you will loose the conservative base anyway.

Maybe it's time to say goodbye to the GOP and create a better true-to-conservative-principles party, the American Constitutional Party or something.

TAP

gemimail said...
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Alien Patriot,
I understand your point of view. I do not like it any better than you do. Show me where the electoral votes are going to come from for the Republican Party let alone an even more conservative one. The detailed analysis is available at The Target States. Just click on the state names to see how much trouble we are in.

Casey said...
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I can't be alone in my feelings that social matters take precedence over fiscal matters. As a great teacher once said, "For what doth it profit a man, if he gain the whole world, and suffer the loss of his own soul?"

If the Republican party ever abandons its respect for innocent human life and family values it will lose more than a single vote. Let's see what the Republican party can do without its social conservatives. Probably not much.

Better to take our message to the people and win the battle of ideas. We can do it, because liberal arguments are inferior. We just need to do a better job of getting the message out, because it will resonate.

Critical Thinker said...
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The numbers don't lie, since 2004 there has been a 5% reduction in the amount of people who consider themselves Republicans, overall. However, what the numbers do not measure is why.

There are two reasons as I see it, the first is that the Republicans no longer represent what is Conservative, and have not for a very long time. Possibly even extending back to Reagan.

Secondly, people did not vote for Obama because they are becoming more liberally minded as the media would like you to think. They voted for the Dems because there are no other choices. Republicans screwed up badly in their eyes so what is the natural choice? Vote for the other guy.

All of this is about your message and how you deliver it. The problem is where is the track record for this new message? That starts in 2010 if real Conservatives can retake the House.

One thing to learn from the Left is the activist frame of mind and as Paul rightfully pointed out, the PUMA's. If you absorb them into the Conservative ideal Reps can re-learn how to organize grassroots movements. Gingirich has made this point several times, we are weak at organization.

Alien Patriot said...
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Activism is always stronger on the left. Progressive thinking lacks in a higher purpose outside this material realm. Winning is one of the highest achievement in this philosophy.

For some reason Christians and Conservatives have become whimps, we have seen this many times when people make fun of Christians, the pope or traditional thinkers.

We have to learn to protest similar to the gay community (of course without the physical intimidation we have seen over the last few days).

There is no media to help us, but it seems that Conservatives are not willing to stand up for their principles anymore.

TAP

Critical Thinker said...
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TAP,

Are we not standing here?

gemimail said...
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Right now my only concern is putting as many roadblocks in the way of our socialist President as I can by any legal means possible. Surely as conservatives, we can all agree on that. If I have to make some compromises to do this, I will. That does not mean that I have abandoned any of my conservative principles, but insisting on my way or the highway while our country is turned into the United States Socialist Republic just does not make sense to me. I am curious as to which conservative principles you think would be abandoned by forming the PUMA Coalition. They are set forth in The PUMA Contract with Elected Officials.

Alien Patriot said...
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I think the new Jindal post says it all. First comes conservative principles - based on that real solutions and then you will attract people. Change from gubernatorial level upwards.

TAP

Blueskyboris said...
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Those principles will only resonate with the populace if they are getting a fair shake economically. This is partially why conservatism has been successful over the last 30 years. People have had the LUXURY of being able to protect their principles. Take that luxury away and you will have a surge in democratic politics.. 2008 is a great, but weak example... I hope you guys learn!