House Race Polls

These poll results are gotten from various sources and the table is constantly updated. The poll column shows the results of the latest poll in a given House race. By clicking on the result, you can get the details of the poll. The HCV column gives you the vote on the final House Obama care bill on 3/21/10 by the incumbent. The remaining columns give the projections by various analysts. Our own rating is in the last column. You will notice that it is much more in line with the poll results than those by any other analyst. The polls show the Republicans ahead in 36 polls and tied in 4 more. That plus some polls where the Democrat is barely ahead should convince you that the Republicans will gain control of the House.

RACE POLL HCV CQ POL COOK ROTHBRG RCP MARSTON
Alabama 2 D +9 No Leans D Leans D Toss-up Toss-up Likely R
Arizona 1 Tie Yes Leans D D toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R
Arizona 5 R +8 Yes Leans D D toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R
Arizona 8 Tie Yes Leans D Leans D Toss-up Toss-up Leans R
Arkansas 1 R +1 Open Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R Leans R
Arkansas 2 R +17 Open Likely R Likely R R favored Likely R Likely R
Arkansas 4 D +18 No Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D D toss-up
California 11 R +1 Yes Leans D Leans D D toss-up Toss-up Leans R
California 47 D +2 Yes Likely D Leans D D favored Leans D Leans D
Colorado 3 R +8 Yes Likely D D toss-up Leans D Leans D Leans R
Colorado 4 R +11 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R favored Leans R Leans R
Colorado 7 R +1 Yes Safe D Likely D Safe D Leans D D toss-up
Connecticut 4 D +4 Yes Leans D Likely D Safe D Leans D R toss-up
Connecticut 5 D +1 Yes Likely D Likely D D favored Leans D R toss-up
Florida 2 R +15 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Toss-up Leans R
Florida 8 D +13 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Likely R
Florida 22 R +2 Yes Likely D Leans D D favored Toss-up R toss-up
Florida 24 R +12 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R favored Leans R Leans R
Georgia 2 D +6 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Leans D Safe D
Georgia 8 D +5 No Leans D D toss-up D toss-up Toss-up R toss-up
Hawaii 1 R +8 Rep Toss-up R toss-up Toss-up Leans D D toss-up
Idaho 1 D +30 No Leans D Leans D Leans D Leans D Likely R
Illinois 11 R +11 Yes Toss-up D toss-up Leans R Leans R Leans R
Illinois 14 R +1 Yes Toss-up D toss-up D toss-up Toss-up R toss-up
Illinois 17 D +2 Yes Safe D Leans D Leans D Toss-up R toss-up
Indiana 2 D +2 Yes Leans D Leans D Leans D Leans D R toss-up
Indiana 8 R +16 Yes Toss-up Leans R Leans R Leans R Leans R
Indiana 9 D +1 Yes Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Toss-up Leans R
Iowa 1 D +11 Yes Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D D toss-up
Iowa 2 D +8 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D R toss-up
Iowa 3 D +9 Yes Leans D D toss-up Leans D Leans D Leans R
Kentucky 3 D +2 Yes Likely D Likely D D favored Leans D Leans R
Kentucky 6 D +14 No Leans D Leans D Leans D Leans D D toss-up
Maine 1 D +9 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Leans D D toss-up
Maine 2 D +7 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Leans D D toss-up
Maryland 1 D +5 No Toss-up D toss-up Leans R Leans R Likely R
Massachusetts 10 D +3 Open Leans D Leans D D favored Toss-up R toss-up
Michigan 1 R +14 Open Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
Michigan 7 R +10 Yes Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R Likely R
Mississippi 1 D +5 No Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
Missouri 3 D +16 Yes Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Leans D
Missouri 4 D +12 No Leans D Leans D Leans D Toss-up D toss-up
Nevada 3 R +3 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
New Hampshire 1 D +5 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
New Hampshire 2 R +17 Open Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
New Jersey 3 D +6 No Leans D Leans D Leans D Leans D Leans R
New Jersey 6 D +6 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D
New Mexico 1 D +7 Yes Leans D Leans D Leans D Toss-up R toss-up
New Mexico 2 D +3 No Toss-up D toss-up Leans R Leans R Leans R
New Mexico 3 D +6 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D
New York 1 D +2 Yes Leans D Leans D Leans D Toss-up R toss-up
New York 13 D +22 No Likely D Leans D D favored Toss-up D toss-up
New York 20 D +5 Yes Leans D Leans D D favored Toss-up Leans R
New York 23 D +2 Yes Leans D Leans D D favored Toss-up Leans R
New York 24 D +13 No Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Toss-up Leans R
New York 25 D +3 Yes Likely D Likely D D favored Leans D R toss-up
North Carolina 2 R +1 Yes Safe D Likely D Safe D Leans D D toss-up
North Carolina 8 D +12 No Leans D D toss-up Leans D Leans R R toss-up
North Carolina 11 D +1 No Likely D Leans D Safe D Toss-up R toss-up
North Dakota AL R +9 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
Ohio 1 R +2 Yes Toss-up D toss-up Leans R Leans R Likely R
Ohio 13 D +2 Yes Leans D Leans D Leans D Toss-up Leans R
Ohio 15 R +5 Yes Toss-up D toss-up Leans R Leans R Likely R
Ohio 16 R +14 Yes Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R Leans R
Ohio 18 Tie No Leans D Leans D Leans D Toss-up R toss-up
Oregon 1 D +6 Yes Likely D Likely D Safe D Likely D Leans D
Oregon 5 D +8 Yes Leans D Leans D D favored Toss-up R toss-up
Pennsylvania 3 R +14 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans D Likely R
Pennsylvania 4 D +27 No Likely D Likely D D favored Leans D Leans R
Pennsylvania 7 R +21 Open Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R Leans R
Pennsylvania 8 R +7 Yes Leans D D toss-up D favored Toss-up Leans R
Pennsylvania 10 R +15 Yes Leans D Leans D D toss-up Toss-up R toss-up
Pennsylvania 11 R +11 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Likely R
Pennsylvania 12 R +5
Leans D Leans D D favored Toss-up R toss-up
Pennsylvania 17 R +4 No Likely D Likely D D favored Leans D D toss-up
South Carolina 5 Tie Yes Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Toss-up Leans R
South Dakota AL D +2 No Toss-up D toss-up D toss-up Leans R Leans R
Tennessee 4 D +11 No Leans D Leans D D favored Leans D D toss-up
Virginia 2 R +6 No Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Toss-up Leans R
Virginia 5 R +21 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Safe R
Virginia 9 D +10 No Leans D Leans D Leans D Likely D D toss-up
Virginia 11 R +5 Yes Likely D Leans D D favored Toss-up R toss-up
Washington 1 D +14 Yes Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Leans D
Washington 2 R +4 Yes Likely D Leans D Leans D Leans D R toss-up
Washington 3 R +13 Yes Toss-up D toss-up R toss-up Leans R Leans R
West Virginia 1 D +5 Open Toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Toss-up Leans R
West Virginia 3 D +16 Yes Likely D Likely D Safe D Leans D Likely D
Wisconsin 3 D +6 Yes Likely D Likely D Safe D Leans D D toss-up
Wisconsin 8 R +10 Yes Leans D D toss-up D toss-up Toss-up Leans R

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